Yes, Kansas is conservative. It’s also complicated.

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“There are several counties on our map that voted no yesterday and never vote for a Democrat for anything, from federal office to local office,” Dr. Miller said.

“You see that generally in the expansion of Medicaid in different states,” he said, “this expression of this voter who sometimes becomes an outright Republican, but when asked to clarify their opinion on this only problem, they I will vote very left.

The result was always a shock – Dr Miller said he was “completely stunned” by the dimensions of the margin – but the shock was less about ideology and more about the degree to which opponents of the change overcame habitual habits voters. The gauge was on the ballot in a major, when Republicans often have a big turnout advantage.

The Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe v. Wade was seen as a huge problem, energizing voters and making it easier for pro-abortion teams to participate. Crucially, these teams have also framed their message to play on the same political instincts that sometimes benefit Republicans.

“Kansans are open to calls from both sides that push back on the idea of ​​presidential terms or involvement in people’s lives,” Dr. Heidbreder said. “This idea that the authorities shouldn’t worry or shouldn’t impose what you do about your health care, that it’s a private decision – that’s the philosophy that has been recognized by opponents of this amendment as something that could really resonate with Kansas voters.


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